Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-29 2.800092 2.940951 3.088785 3.256161 3.441215 3.640508 3.872657
2025-07-06 2.536172 2.723276 2.928142 3.171228 3.454690 3.778567 4.182333
2025-07-13 2.424342 2.655242 2.918037 3.244091 3.645021 4.132460 4.788042
2025-07-20 2.304081 2.563991 2.869311 3.262733 3.769747 4.422842 5.370004
2025-07-27 2.250284 2.544445 2.901334 3.379939 4.029406 4.923956 6.348930
2025-08-03 2.181282 2.499162 2.895401 3.445460 4.227436 5.375385 7.389615
2025-08-10 2.080468 2.405726 2.818993 3.407251 4.273239 5.609842 8.155019
2025-08-17 1.957228 2.275589 2.684730 3.276037 4.165577 5.583401 8.437467
2025-08-24 1.866335 2.182224 2.593051 3.196423 4.125557 5.660204 8.955724
2025-08-31 1.806045 2.125496 2.546717 3.177142 4.175480 5.898756 9.927678
2025-09-07 1.734540 2.050126 2.470075 3.106638 4.134247 5.964265 10.525175
2025-09-14 1.669080 1.979923 2.396786 3.035593 4.084194 6.004207 11.084608
2025-09-21 1.588399 1.890751 2.299255 2.931885 3.987486 5.974890 11.575975
2025-09-28 1.529150 1.828743 2.237621 2.880033 3.976643 6.125078 12.791220
2025-10-05 1.511021 1.822421 2.255313 2.953935 4.199465 6.841977 17.045550
2025-10-12 1.480096 1.796674 2.243039 2.978708 4.337241 7.423562 22.355107
2025-10-19 1.471965 1.802494 2.277643 3.084088 4.651007 8.608876 39.050172
2025-10-26 1.452631 1.791094 2.285188 3.144017 4.885787 9.733080 83.644466
2025-11-02 1.414097 1.749982 2.244376 3.114955 4.923393 10.255145 183.130428
2025-11-09 1.360092 1.684269 2.162146 3.005639 4.765606 10.011729 222.561663
2025-11-16 1.318729 1.635900 2.105299 2.939040 4.699289 10.104185 598.863819
2025-11-23 1.291032 1.606755 2.077463 2.923451 4.750170 10.697610 NaN
2025-11-30 1.255524 1.564842 2.027533 2.863566 4.687513 10.793640 NaN